Politics and Global Warming
- 20 October 2006 by Author 0 Comments
Politics and Global Warming
By Richard Larsen
Published – Idaho State Journal 10/20/2006
Yes, there is global warming. The real question is what’s causing it. This is where the issue gets a little sticky and where politics enter into the equation.
Most of the slight one degree Centigrade temperature rise over the past 100 years took place prior to 1938 when global oil consumption was far below what it is now. According to satellite readings, the earth’s average temperature actually cooled slightly between 1979 and 1996. That caused the same environmentalists warning us today about global warming to panic just 30 years ago over a looming ice age. Remember the June, 1994 cover story for Time Magazine, “Another Ice Age?”
To my knowledge, there are no credible scientific sources who deny that the earth is in a slight warming trend. But it’s a small, vocal minority of climate scientists who make a living by publicizing alarmist and often outrageous claims about man’s detrimental influence on the global environment. Just because they’re more vocal doesn’t mean they are more correct. They just have more of an agenda.
Contrary to recent assertions, every reasonable person should question AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming). The only “proof” that I’m aware of validating AGW is a computer model. Anyone with knowledge of computers knows how a model can easily be tweaked to provide whatever result is desired.
Humans don’t produce that much CO2 (carbon dioxide) which are cited by some as the primary cause of AGW. For example, the CO2 produced by the United States in one year by burning gasoline is about 0.0004 of the instantaneous quantity of CO2 in the atmosphere. In other words, if all motor vehicles were banned, we would not be able to measure any difference in atmospheric CO2. It is not clear that even banning humans from the earth would make any significant difference in the climate.
Further, CO2 is not that effective as a greenhouse gas. The primary greenhouse gas is water vapor, over which we humans have no measurable influence.
The historical record indicates that atmospheric CO2 has been as high as 10 times the current level. If the Earth’s climate were an unstable system, as some are claiming, we would not be here to talk about it.
Contrary to what has been posited by others, our sun is a variable star, and is a major and controlling influence on the extent and rate of long- and short-term climate changes affecting Earth
To paraphrase from a report from prominent heliologist, Dr. Theodor Landscheidt, the sun itself is the primary cause of GW. Fluctuations in the distance of the nucleus of the sun and the mass of the solar system is not constant which, along with other variables, create disturbances on the sun.
Those disturbances manifest themselves in the form of sunspots and solar flares. During periods of high solar activity, the energy radiated by the Sun increases, and therefore the Earth receives more radiation from the Sun and heats up. Moreover, solar activities also interfere with the amount of cosmic radiation that reaches the atmosphere of the Earth, also contributing to GW.
Heliocentric causes are much more plausible identifying the cause of global warming, and cooling, than driving SUVs or burning coal.
This brings us to the political element of the discussion, which is typified by the Kyoto Protocol. This environmental treaty, negotiated in 1997, is essentially a wealth redistribution plan where Annex 1 countries (developed countries like the U.S., U.K., and Japan) either have to reduce carbon emissions sharply from 1990 or they have to “buy” emissions credits from non-developed countries. In other words, it was an anti-capitalism protocol designed to punish developed countries and redistribute their wealth to underdeveloped countries.
Add to that the emergence of Al Gore on the scene with his “Inconvenient Lie” (certainly not truth) movie. His major illustrations of global warming were lake Anar dried up, with a boat on the dry lake bed and the melting of Mt. Kilamangaro’s snow caps. What Gore doesn’t tell you is that the Russian government diverted the rivers that flowed into lake Anar and that the melting snow caps are resulting from tree reduction around the mountain that have reduced humidity. Hence, much less snow on the mountain..
The whole solar system is warming slightly, not just the earth. Satellite temperature readings show that warming is occurring all the way from Mercury to Pluto. I don’t think there’s a lot of anthropegenic SUV driving taking place on Pluto right now.
To assert that man causes global warming is a throwback to a pre-Copernican view of man at the center of the universe. Copernicus correctly taught that our solar system is heliocentric, and careful study proves that global warming is as well. The sun is much more of a variable in the global warming equation than man could ever be.
Richard Larsen is President of Larsen Financial, a brokerage and financial planning firm in Pocatello, and is a graduate of Idaho State University with a BA in Political Science and History and former member of the Idaho State Journal Editorial Board. He can be reached at email@example.com.